Thinking 2 Think

From Fast Reactions To Wise Choices: How System 1 And System 2 Shape Your Life

Michael A Aponte Episode 61

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You have two completely different thinking systems in your head. Most of the time, you don't even know which one is in control. 

  • System 1: Fast, emotional, automatic, always on 
  • System 2: Slow, logical, deliberate, requires effort 

Here's the problem: System 1 makes most of your decisions in 0.3 seconds. Then System 2 creates a story to justify it. You THINK you're being rational. But you're not. 

In this episode, I break down how these two systems work—and why System 1 hijacks your decisions before System 2 even shows up. 

Real story from my NYPD days: Standing in a doorway at 2am, domestic disturbance call. Brain 1 said, "Threat. Draw weapon." Brain 2 said "Wait. Look closer. This is a crisis, not aggression." Switching systems changed the outcome. 

You'll learn: 

  1. The 4 massive blindspots of System 1 thinking (why propaganda works, why you're terrible at probability, why you want the donut NOW) 
  2. Why hiring managers decide in 10 seconds then spend the rest of the interview confirming their bias 
  3. How to recognize which system you're in (certainty without analysis = System 1) 
  4. 5 strategies to activate System 2 when it matters (pause, name emotions, ask questions, pre-commit, change environment) 
  5. When you NEED System 1 (emergencies, performance) vs when you NEED System 2 (strategy, hiring, complex decisions) 

CRITICAL INSIGHT: The skill isn't "always use System 2." The skill is recognizing which system you're in and which system you need—then making the shift.

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 #CognitiveScience #BehavioralPsychology #Leadership #DanielKahneman #ThinkingFastAndSlow 


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The Brooklyn Doorway Decision

SPEAKER_00

I'm in my patrol car, and I was a rookie at the time, and this was in Brooklyn, around 2 a.m. My partner and I got a call, domestic disturbance, possible weapons involved. We pulled up on the apartment building. We can hear shouting from the street. Woman screaming, something crashes. My heart rate spikes immediately. My hands are already moving, checking my weapon, my radio, my position. We go up the stairs, shouting gets louder, my partner knocks, and YPD, open the door, a door flies open. A man maybe six foot two, 220 pounds, a rage in his eyes. Behind them, a woman with a bloody nose. And in that split second, maybe 0.3 seconds, my brain makes a decision. Threat, aggressor, protect the victim, neutralize the danger. My hand goes to my weapon, my body shifts into a defensive stance. I'm ready. But then, and this is a critical part. Another part of my brain kicks in. Wait, look at his hands. No weapon. Look at his body language. He's angry, but he's not attacking. Look at the woman. She's scared of him, but she's also stepping between us and him. This is not aggression. This is desperation. He's not a threat. He's in crisis. Two brains. Two completely different interpretations. Same situation. Brain one said danger. React now. Brain two said context. Think first. If I had listened only to brain one, I might have escalated the situation. I might have drawn my weapon. I might have turned a domestic crisis into a violent confrontation. But brain two gave me just enough pause to see what was really happening. Turns out, their kid was in the hospital. They'd been there all day. They came home exhausted, scared, overwhelmed. An argument about nothing turned into something. They didn't need force, they needed de-escalation. And that nose, that bloody nose allegedly wasn't even an attack. It was uh the weather. And she had a bloody nose, I guess stress or what have you. She had no other signs of assault on her face. I switched brains, and that switch changed the outcome. Here's what most people don't understand. You have two completely different thinking systems in your head. They just use different parts of your brain. They operate at different speeds. They have different goals. And most of the time you don't even know which one is in control. This is Thinking to Think, the podcast about making better decisions in a world designed to make you think worse. This is Mike Aponte, also known as M.A. Aponte, former NYPD officer, former Merrill Lynch Wealth Manager, former trained actor, and current executive director of a charter school in Florida. Today we're going deep on the two brains in your head, System 1 and System 2, why your brain defaults to fast, emotional, automatic responses, and how to shift into slow, logical, deliberate thinking when it actually matters. Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman spent his entire career studying how people think. And what he discovered changed psychology forever. You don't have one way of thinking, you have two. He called them system one and system two. System one is fast, automatic, emotional, unconscious, pattern-based, always on. System two is slow, deliberate, logical, conscious, analytical, has to be activated. Here's the critical insight. When you wake up in the morning, system one is running. When you're driving to work, system one is running. When you're scrolling social media, having a conversation, making a snack, system one. System two only comes online when you force it, when you deliberately slow down and think. And here's the problem: most of your decisions are made by system one, but you think they're made by system two. You feel like you're thinking logically, you feel like you're being rational, you feel like you considered all the options, but you didn't. Not because they can't think, obviously, but because system one hijacked the decision before system two even showed up. Same thing applies especially to leaders. System one, everything is natural, everything is quick. But a lot of leaders make bad decisions that affect the organization or those that follow them because they thought they were on system two. When I personally am emotionally triggered by a situation and I need to make a decision, I force myself to stop and think. And sometimes I step away from the decision-making process to recalibrate and analyze the situation. Maybe I sleep on it, maybe it uh gives me a day or two, depending on the situation, of course. And it depends on the time. If it's not ultra-time sensitive where I need a decision right now, and I'm emotionally triggered, I will not make that decision. I will force myself to stop, pause, and analyze the situation, especially when I am emotional. And it took many years of learning this from making bad decisions to forcing myself and coaching myself on the process, which is what I'm doing now for you guys, hopefully, especially if you're like me, that uh can be very emotional relatively quickly. So allow me to break down these two systems and how they actually work. System one, the fast brain, what it does. One, pattern recognition. I've seen this before. Emotional response. This feels dangerous, exciting, wrong. Three, uh, automatic actions, driving, walking, speaking. Four, snap judgments, first impressions. Five, intuition, the gut feelings. When it works well, system one is why you can walk and talk at the same time. It's why you don't have to consciously think about every word when you're speaking, it's why you can drive a familiar route with thinking about something else. It's also why you're still alive. If you had to consciously analyze every potential threat, you'd be dead. The rustling in the grass might be wind, or it might be a predator. System one doesn't wait to find out, it assumes threat and acts. When it works well, system one is a superpower. An example from my time in finance. When I was meeting with clients, I could usually tell within the first 30 seconds whether they were going to be difficult to work with. Not because I was analyzing them consciously, because system one was reading micro expressions, tone of voice, body language, word choice, hundreds of tiny signals, and creating a pattern match. This pattern, excuse me, this person reminds me of clients who later become problems. Was I always right? No. But I was right often enough that the pattern was useful. That's system one at its best, fast, unconscious, pattern recognition that saves time and protects you. Here's when system one fails. Blind spots. Blind spot number one, it mistakes familiarity for truth. If you've heard something multiple times, system one assumes it's true, even if it's not. It's called an anchor bias, but that's for another episode. Um, and this is also why propaganda works so well. Why conspiracy theories spread, repetition creates the feeling of truth. Blind spot number two, it can't handle statistics or probability. System one thinks in stories, not numbers. Ask someone, what's more dangerous, shark attacks or falling coconuts? System one says sharks, because sharks attacks are dramatic, memorable, covered in the news, and in your movies. But falling coconuts actually kill more people every year than sharks. System one doesn't care. Sharks feel more dangerous. Blind spot number three, it's terrible at long-term thinking. System one prioritizes immediate rewards over future consequences. The donut in front of you right now feels better than the abstract concept of being healthy six months from now. System one wants the the donut to dopamine hit. Blind spot number four, it creates overconfidence. Because system one operates unconsciously, you don't realize how little information you're actually using to make decisions. You feel certain, but that certainty is an illusion. Example from education: a teacher sees a student acting out in class. System one immediately generates an explanation. This student is disrespectful, they don't care about their learning, they're trying to disrupt class. That explanation feels true, it feels obvious. But system one didn't consider maybe the student is dysregulated from something that happened at home. Maybe they're struggling with the material and acting out to avoid looking dumb. Maybe they have undiagnosed ADHD and sitting still is a neurologically impossibility. System one, grab the first pattern that fit. Disruptive behavior equals disrespectful student. And now the teacher responds with the consequence instead of support, and the behavior gets worse. System one isn't wrong, it's just incomplete. Now, system two, the slow brain, what it does, complex calculations, logical analysis, evaluating multiple options, considering long-term consequences, overriding system one when necessary. And when does this work? System two is why you can solve math problems, why you can plan a project, why you can weigh the pros and cons of a major decision. Example from running my school, we had to decide whether to implement a new curriculum mid-year. System one said the curriculum is better, do it now. But system two asked, what's the cost of disrupting teachers mid-year? Do we have time to train someone properly? What's the risk if implementation is rushed? Could we pilot it with one grade level instead of rolling it out every everywhere? System two has slowed down the decision, considered trade-offs, evaluated alternatives. We ended up piloting a program, learning what worked and what didn't, then rolling it out school-wide the following year. System two prevented a costly mistake. So when system two fails, it and it does have its limitations, and I'm gonna break it down by numbers. Limitation one, it's slow. In a crisis, you don't have time for system two. You need to act now. That's a given. That's the domestic disturbance call. If I had spent five minutes in a system two analysis mode while standing in the doorway, someone could have gotten hurt. System one got me in position. System two refined my response. Both were necessary. Limitation two. It's exhausting. System two requires cognitive energy. You can't run it all day. This is why you make worse decisions at the end of a long day. System two is depleted. System one takes over. That's why many executives make the biggest decisions in their companies in the morning, not in the afternoons. System two doesn't want to work, and this is uh limitation number two. It's lazy. It wants system one to handle things. So if system one gives you the answer that feels right, system two often just says, Yeah, that sounds good, and goes back to sleep. You think you analyzed the decision, but really system one decided and system two rubber stamped it. So, the problem system one hijacked system two, if you haven't noticed by now. Here's what happens in most decisions situation occurs. That's one, two, system one instantly generates a response in milliseconds. Three, you feel like you're thinking, but system one already decided. Four, system two creates a rational sounding justification for what system one already decided. Five, you believe you made a logical choice, but you didn't. Example, hiring decision. Research shows that most hiring managers make their decisions in the first 10 seconds of an interview. The rest of the interview, they're looking for evidence to confirm what system one already decided. If system one says, I like this person, based on appearance, similarity to self, charisma, system two looks for evidence of competence. If system one was to say, I don't like this person, system two looks for the red flags. Same candidate, different system one response, completely different outcome. And the hiring manager genuinely believes they made a careful logical decision. Now, and another example would be investment decisions. A wealth manager recommends a specific investment strategy to a client. The client, system one, immediately reacts, this feels risky. So they have the fear, this sounds too good to be true. So they have the suspicion, I don't understand this. Threat to ego. Now, system two has to overcome system one's emotional response and analyze the actual investment. Most people can't do both. So they either option one, let system one decide, reject the strategy because it feels risky, or option two, override system one with willpower, but resent the decision later. Very few people actually get system two online and evaluate the strategy on its merits. So, how do you recognize which system is running? Well, I'm glad you asked. You're in system one when one of the following. You want to respond immediately. Someone questioning you feels like an attack, and your response is it's obvious, or anyone can see. You're in system two when you're uncertain and unc and comfortable with it. You're weighing multiple options, you notice your emotions, but they're not driving you. You can explain your reasoning step by step. You're open to changing your mind if given new information. The shift from system one to system two requires noticing you're in system one first. Most people never notice. They live in a system one and think they're being rational. So, how do you activate system two when it matters? You can't live in system two all the time, it's too exhausting. You don't want to, but you can learn to recognize when system one is leading you astray and deliberately activate system two. Strategy one insert pause between stimulus and response. Victor Frankel, between stimulus and response, there is a space. In that space is our power to choose our response. That space is where system two lives. System one wants immediate response. System two needs time. Practical applications and email, if you feel the urge to respond immediately, save it as a draft, come back in two hours. Conflict. If someone says something that makes you angry, count to 10 before responding. System two comes online around seven seconds. Decisions. If someone says I need an answer right now, that's a red flag. Urgent decisions favor system one. Ask, can I have 24 hours? Strategy two, name the emotion. System one is driven by emotion, but once you name the emotion, system two wakes up. I'm feeling defensive right now. I'm feeling scared this won't work. I'm feeling excited, and that's making me overlook risks. Naming activates the prefrontal cortex, that part of your brain that runs system two. Strategy three, ask system two questions. System one makes statements. System two asks questions. System two, what evidence do I have for that? What other explanations could there be? System one, the investment is too risky. System two, what specifically makes it risky? How does that compare to other options? What's the actual probability of loss? System one, we should do it this way. System two, why? What are we optimizing for? What are the trade-offs? Questions for system two online. Strategy four, use pre-commitment devices. Since System 1 hijacks decisions in the moment, make the decision before the moment. Example from my personal life. I know that when I'm in a tense meeting, System 1 will want me to defend myself immediately when challenged. So before the meeting, I write on a notepad, ask, what am I missing? When I feel defensive, I look at the notepad. It reminds me to activate system two. Other pre-commitment devices, if I feel angry, I will take three deep breaths before speaking. If something makes an urgent request, I will say, let me think about it instead of yes or no. Unless your life depends on it. If I'm making a decision after 3 p.m., I will wait until tomorrow. Strategy five, change your environment. System one is triggered by context. Change the context. But you can shift to system two. Feeling overwhelmed at your desk, go for a walk. The physical movement and change for scenery help system two activate. Having a difficult conversation, don't do it via email or text. System one dominates text communication. Do it face to face where you can see the body language and tone. Making a big decision, don't do it on this in the same room, excuse me, where you're stressed all day. Go somewhere calm. So here's some real-world system switching. And I want to show you how this works in practice. Scenario a parent email or a customer email or boss email with an angry complaint. System one response. Reads the email, feels attacked, immediately starts composing a defensive reply, writes three paragraphs explaining why the parent um boss or colleague is wrong or customer, hits send, regrets it 20 minutes later. System two response. Reads the email, notices I feel attacked. That's system one. Saves a draft, doesn't send. Asks, what's the actual concern underneath the emotion? Waits two hours, rereads the email with fresh eyes, responds, I hear your concern. Can we talk through this? I want to make sure I understand what happened. Same email, different system, completely different outcome. Another scenario, you're deciding whether to fire an underperforming employee. System one responds, they're not working out, let them go. Fast, certain, decisive, might be right, might be premature. System two response, what specifically isn't working? Have I given them clear feedback and time to improve? What systemic factors might be contributing to their underperformance? What's the cost of firing them versus the cost of investing in their development? Am I making this decision because they're actually not capable or because I'm frustrated? System two doesn't always reach a different conclusion, but it reaches more defensible ones. The meta skill is knowing which system you need. Some situations require system one, emergencies, performance like sports, music, public speaking, social interaction, routine execution. Some situations require a system two, complex decisions, long-term planning, conflict resolution, financial choices, hiring and firing, strategic thinking. The skill isn't always use system two. The skill is recognizing which system you're in, recognize which system you need, and make the shift when necessary. If you're realizing that most of your decisions are system one running an autopilot, and you want to develop the capacity to shift to system two when it matters, I write about this every week in my Sub Stack. I share real decisions I made this week and which systems I was in, how I caught system one hijacking me and what I did about it, other frameworks for recognition, as well as my reflections and podcast notes. It's free, it's in my substack. Please sign up. I have additional resources and behind the scenes in my$10 a month uh subscription, but there's a lot of resources in the free one, so please, please sign up. It will help support the show. Next week, strip it down to nothing. We're talking about first principles thinking, how to break complex problems down to fundamental truths and rebuild from there. This is how Elon Musk thinks. This is how great scientists think, and you can learn it too. Thanks for thinking with me. I'm Mike Aponte, also known as M. A. Aponte, and this is Thinking to Think.